| Time | Ctry | Event | Actual | Consensus | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wednesday, Dec 13 | |||||
| 07:00 | US | MBA 30-Year Mortgage RateFixed 30-year mortgage lending rates for 80% loan-to-value mortgage (source by MBA). | 4.20% | — | 4.19% |
| 07:00 | US | MBA Mortgage ApplicationsMortgage Bankers Association (MBA) Mortgage Applications measures the change in the number of new applications for mortgages backed by the MBA during the reported week. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD. | -2.3% | — | 4.7% |
| 07:00 | US | MBA Purchase IndexMBA - Mortgage Bankers Association of America. The Purchase Index includes all mortgages applications for the purchase of a single-family home. It covers the entire market, both conventional and government loans, and all products. The Purchase Index has proven to be a reliable indicator of impending home sales. | 247.9 | — | 250.6 |
| 07:00 | US | Mortgage Market IndexMBA - Mortgage Bankers Association of America. The Market Index covers all mortgage applications during the week. This includes all conventional and government applications, all fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs), all adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), whether for a purchase or to refinance. | 398.8 | — | 408.3 |
| 07:00 | US | Mortgage Refinance IndexMBA - Mortgage Bankers Association of America. The Refinance Index covers all mortgage applications to refinance an existing mortgage. It is the best overall gauge of mortgage refinancing activity. The Refinance Index includes conventional and government refinances, regardless of product (FRM or ARM) or coupon rate refinanced into or out of.Seasonal factors are less significant in refinances than in home sales, however holiday effects are considerable. | 1,281.0 | — | 1,313.9 |
| 07:20 | US | OPEC Monthly ReportThe OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report covers major issues affecting the world oil market and provides an outlook for crude oil market developments for the coming year. The report provides a detailed analysis of key developments impacting oil market trends in world oil demand, supply as well as the oil market balance. | — | — | — |
| 08:30 | US | ★Core CPIThe Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the changes in the price of goods and services, excluding food and energy. The CPI measures price change from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD. | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 08:30 | US | ★Core CPIThe Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the changes in the price of goods and services, excluding food and energy. The CPI measures price change from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD. | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% |
| 08:30 | US | ★Core CPI IndexThe consumer price index (CPI) is a measure of the average change in the prices paid by urban consumers for a fixed market basket of goods and services. The CPI is based on prices of food, clothing, shelter, fuel, drugs, transportation fares, doctors' and dentists' fees, and other goods and services that people buy for day-to-day living. The quantity and quality of these items are kept essentially unchanged between major revisions so that only price changes will be measured. All taxes directly associated with the purchase and use of items are included in the index. | 253.72 | — | 253.43 |
| 08:30 | US | ★CPIThe Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD. | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% |
| 08:30 | US | ★CPIThe Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD. | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 08:30 | US | ★CPI Index, n.s.a.The consumer price index (CPI) is a measure of the average change in the prices paid by urban consumers for a fixed market basket of goods and services. The CPIis based on prices of food, clothing, shelter, fuel, drugs, transportation fares, doctors and dentists fees, and other goods and services that people buy for day-to-day living. The quantity and quality of these items are kept essentially unchanged between major revisions so that only price changes will bemeasured. All taxes directly associated with the purchase and use of items are included in the index." | 246.67 | 246.81 | 246.66 |
| 08:30 | US | Real EarningsReal Earnings measures Wages, salaries, and other earnings, corrected for inflation over time so as to produce a measure of actual changes in purchasing power. A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative | 0.1% | — | -0.2% |
| 10:30 | US | Crude Oil InventoriesThe Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Crude Oil Inventories measures the weekly change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by US firms. The level of inventories influences the price of petroleum products, which can have an impact on inflation. If the increase in crude inventories is more than expected, it implies weaker demand and is bearish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is less than expected. If the increase in crude is less than expected, it implies greater demand and is bullish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is more than expected. | -5.117M | -3.759M | -5.610M |
| 10:30 | US | Crude Oil Imports | 0.433M | — | -0.073M |
| 10:30 | US | Cushing Crude Oil InventoriesChange in the number of barrels of crude oil held in storage at the Cushing, Oklahoma during the past week. Storage levels at Cushing are important because it serves as the delivery point for the U.S. crude oil benchmark, West Texas Intermediate. | -3.317M | — | -2.753M |
| 10:30 | US | Distillate Fuel Production | -0.155M | — | 0.118M |
| 10:30 | US | EIA Weekly Distillates StocksThe Energy Information Administration reports inventory levels of US crude oil, gasoline and distillates stocks. The figure shows how much oil and product is available in storage. The indicator gives an overview of US petroleum demand. | -1.370M | 0.902M | 1.667M |
| 10:30 | US | Gasoline Production | 0.371M | — | -0.464M |
| 10:30 | US | Heating Oil Stockpiles | -0.139M | — | -0.786M |
| 10:30 | US | Gasoline InventoriesGasoline Inventories measures the change in the number of barrels of commercial gasoline held in inventory by commercial firms during the reported week. The data influences the price of gasoline products which affects inflation. The data has no consistent effect, there are both inflationary and growth implications. | 5.664M | 2.457M | 6.780M |
| 11:00 | US | ★Cleveland CPIThe Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation in the metropolitan area of Cleaveland. The impact on the currency may go both ways, a rise in CPI may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency, on the other hand, during recession, a rise in CPI may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency. | 0.2% | — | 0.3% |
| 14:00 | US | ★FOMC Economic ProjectionsThis report includes the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) projection for inflation and economic growth over the next 2 years. An important part of the report is the breakdown of individual FOMC members' interest rate forecasts. | — | — | — |
| 14:00 | US | ★FOMC StatementThe U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement is the primary tool the panel uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of the vote on interest rates, discusses the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future votes. A more dovish than expected statement could be taken as negative/bearish for the USD, while a more hawkish than expected statement could be taken as positive/bullish for the USD. | — | — | — |
| 14:00 | US | ★Fed Interest Rate DecisionFederal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members vote on where to set the rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation. A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the USD. | 1.50% | 1.50% | 1.25% |
| 14:30 | US | ★FOMC Press Conference | — | — | — |
| 15:00 | US | U.S. President Trump Speaks | — | — | — |
| 15:30 | US | Fed's Balance SheetThe Fed balance sheet is a statement listing the assets and liabilities of the Federal Reserve System. Details of the Fed's balance sheet are disclosed by the Fed in a weekly report called "Factors Affecting Reserve Balances." | 4,452.73B | — | 4,437.15B |
| 18:00 | US | ★FOMC Member Brainard Speaks | — | — | — |
★ marks releases that usually move markets (inflation, jobs, growth, central-bank decisions). Click an event for what it measures. Actual values fill in as they're published.
| Release | Days | S&P 500 move | vs a typical day | Up / down | Average | Biggest up | Biggest down | Nasdaq move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPI | 61 | ±0.95% | 1.2× | 32 / 29 | +0.08% | +5.5% Nov 22 | −4.3% Sep 22 | ±1.32% |
| Jobs report | 56 | ±1.02% | 1.3× | 27 / 29 | −0.19% | +2.3% Jan 23 | −6.0% Apr 25 | ±1.38% |
| Fed decision | 40 | ±0.99% | 1.3× | 17 / 23 | +0.06% | +3.0% May 22 | −2.9% Dec 24 | ±1.32% |
| PPI | 59 | ±0.68% | 0.9× | 34 / 25 | +0.16% | +2.1% Mar 22 | −1.6% Jan 23 | ±0.92% |
| Retail sales | 59 | ±0.78% | 1.0× | 26 / 33 | −0.06% | +2.2% Mar 22 | −2.5% Dec 22 | ±0.99% |
| GDP | 61 | ±0.72% | 0.9× | 34 / 27 | +0.27% | +3.1% Nov 22 | −2.1% Sep 22 | ±1.06% |
| PCE inflation | 58 | ±0.90% | 1.2× | 34 / 24 | +0.26% | +2.5% May 22 | −3.6% Apr 22 | ±1.13% |
| A typical day | — | ±0.77% | 1.0× | ±1.06% | ||||
Each release day's close against the session before. Most of these come at 8:30 ET, before the open; Fed decisions at 2:00 ET. Other news moves markets on the same days, so this is how those days have gone, not what the release alone did.