TNET
TriNet Group, Inc.Open64.99+0.05 +0.08%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 11:46 ET · 20m delay
Open
65.37
Prev close
64.94
Day range
64.9766.35
52-week range
33.6173.08
Volume
67.50K0.19×
Mkt cap
2.98B
P/E ttm
17.28
Fwd P/E
13.20
EPS ttm
3.76
Div yield
1.79%
Earnings
Jul 30, 2026
From 52w high
−11.07%
TNET market-implied price distribution
TNET Price at Expiry
6 OTM quotes · ATM IV 54.2%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
49%
spot 64.99
Expected price
65.18
forward 65.27
68% range
54–76
−17.1% / +17.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 47.93 | −26.2% |
| 16% | 53.87 | −17.1% |
| 25% | 57.07 | −12.2% |
| 50% (median) | 64.84 | −0.2% |
| 75% | 72.39 | +11.4% |
| 84% | 76.11 | +17.1% |
| 95% | 84.17 | +29.5% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (68.24) | 38% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (71.49) | 28% |
| Down 5% or more (61.74) | 39% |
| Down 10% or more (58.49) | 30% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 30%, 1.0× the 30% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.