SHIP
Seanergy Maritime Holdings CorpOpen17.36+0.04 +0.23%USD
NasdaqCM · as of Oct 13, 10:19 ET · 15m delay
Open
17.29
Prev close
17.32
Day range
17.1917.36
52-week range
7.8619.22
Volume
35.52K0.10×
Mkt cap
376.15M
P/E ttm
6.05
Fwd P/E
6.83
EPS ttm
2.87
Div yield
8.09%
Earnings
Jul 30, 2026
From 52w high
−9.68%
SHIP market-implied price distribution
SHIP Price at Expiry
6 OTM quotes · ATM IV 53.2%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
52%
spot 17.36
Expected price
17.45
forward 17.45
68% range
14–20
−16.6% / +15.4%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 12.94 | −25.4% |
| 16% | 14.48 | −16.6% |
| 25% | 15.36 | −11.5% |
| 50% (median) | 17.52 | +0.9% |
| 75% | 19.59 | +12.8% |
| 84% | 20.03 | +15.4% |
| 95% | 21.85 | +25.8% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (18.23) | 41% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (19.10) | 31% |
| Down 5% or more (16.49) | 38% |
| Down 10% or more (15.62) | 28% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 28%, 1.0× the 29% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.