PLD
Prologis, Inc.Pre-market132.47+2.98 +2.30%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delayPre-market 133.47 +0.75%
Open
129.55
Prev close
129.49
Day range
129.26132.50
52-week range
111.81153.35
Volume
3.48M0.85×
Mkt cap
128.77B
P/E ttm
30.11
Fwd P/E
39.60
EPS ttm
4.40
Div yield
3.23%
Earnings
Oct 15, 2026
From 52w high
−13.62%
PLD market-implied price distribution
PLD Price at Expiry
21 OTM quotes · ATM IV 24.9%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
49%
spot 132.47
Expected price
131.40
forward 131.93
68% range
122–141
−7.8% / +6.8%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 109.86 | −17.1% |
| 16% | 122.15 | −7.8% |
| 25% | 125.84 | −5.0% |
| 50% (median) | 132.28 | −0.1% |
| 75% | 138.34 | +4.4% |
| 84% | 141.50 | +6.8% |
| 95% | 149.97 | +13.2% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (139.09) | 23% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (145.72) | 8.7% |
| Down 5% or more (125.85) | 25% |
| Down 10% or more (119.22) | 11% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 11%, 1.0× the 11% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.