NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 29.120.00%
Open
28.57
Prev close
29.24
Day range
28.5129.16
52-week range
20.0556.00
Volume
637.86K0.59×
Mkt cap
1.72B
P/E ttm
10.36
Fwd P/E
14.02
EPS ttm
2.81
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 26, 2026
From 52w high
−48.00%
PLAB market-implied price distribution
ODDS
PLAB Price at Expiry
7 OTM quotes · ATM IV 47.8%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
48%
spot 29.12
Expected price
29.11
forward 29.17
68% range
25–33
−14.5% / +14.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
TGT
Target Price
PCTL
Percentiles
Chance below
Price
vs spot
5%
19.16
−34.2%
16%
24.90
−14.5%
25%
26.34
−9.6%
50% (median)
28.93
−0.7%
75%
31.64
+8.6%
84%
33.23
+14.1%
95%
39.60
+36.0%
MOVE
Move Odds
Up 5% or more (30.58)
34%
Up 10% or more (32.03)
22%
Down 5% or more (27.66)
37%
Down 10% or more (26.21)
24%
Options price a 10%+ drop at 24%, 0.9× the 27% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.