PAYC
Paycom Software, Inc.After hours236.65+1.64 +0.70%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 16:03 ET · 20m delayAfter hours 236.65 −0.02%
Open
235.97
Prev close
235.01
Day range
235.06237.92
52-week range
104.90244.98
Volume
411.29K0.53×
Mkt cap
10.67B
P/E ttm
25.04
Fwd P/E
16.95
EPS ttm
9.45
Div yield
0.64%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−3.40%
PAYC market-implied price distribution
PAYC Price at Expiry
37 OTM quotes · ATM IV 51.9%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
50%
spot 236.65
Expected price
240.99
forward 237.62
68% range
204–275
−14.0% / +16.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 177.86 | −24.8% |
| 16% | 203.63 | −14.0% |
| 25% | 214.69 | −9.3% |
| 50% (median) | 236.94 | +0.1% |
| 75% | 260.99 | +10.3% |
| 84% | 274.75 | +16.1% |
| 95% | 319.52 | +35.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (248.48) | 37% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (260.32) | 26% |
| Down 5% or more (224.82) | 36% |
| Down 10% or more (212.99) | 23% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 23%, 0.8× the 28% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.