OI
O-I Glass, Inc.After hours5.75−0.15 −2.54%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 14, 16:00 ET · 20m delayAfter hours 5.75 0.00%
Open
5.70
Prev close
5.90
Day range
5.535.85
52-week range
5.3016.91
Volume
2.33M0.67×
Mkt cap
883.54M
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
4.00
EPS ttm
-7.54
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Oct 27, 2026
From 52w high
−66.00%
OI market-implied price distribution
OI Price at Expiry
8 OTM quotes · ATM IV 66.7%
Days to expiry
37
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
51%
spot 5.75
Expected price
5.79
forward 5.84
68% range
4–7
−22.4% / +21.3%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 2.70 | −53.0% |
| 16% | 4.46 | −22.4% |
| 25% | 4.97 | −13.6% |
| 50% (median) | 5.77 | +0.4% |
| 75% | 6.54 | +13.8% |
| 84% | 6.97 | +21.3% |
| 95% | 8.44 | +46.8% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (6.04) | 41% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (6.33) | 31% |
| Down 5% or more (5.46) | 39% |
| Down 10% or more (5.18) | 30% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 30%, 0.9× the 32% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.