LOPE
Grand Canyon Education, Inc.Open160.02−0.26 −0.16%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 13:36 ET · 15m delay
Open
161.01
Prev close
160.28
Day range
159.44161.69
52-week range
134.27223.04
Volume
88.60K0.27×
Mkt cap
4.17B
P/E ttm
19.37
Fwd P/E
14.15
EPS ttm
8.26
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Nov 4, 2026
From 52w high
−28.26%
LOPE market-implied price distribution
LOPE Price at Expiry
8 OTM quotes · ATM IV 37.0%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
52%
spot 160.02
Expected price
160.40
forward 160.69
68% range
141–179
−11.8% / +11.6%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 126.74 | −20.8% |
| 16% | 141.12 | −11.8% |
| 25% | 147.67 | −7.7% |
| 50% (median) | 160.82 | +0.5% |
| 75% | 173.52 | +8.4% |
| 84% | 178.57 | +11.6% |
| 95% | 192.26 | +20.1% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (168.02) | 35% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (176.02) | 19% |
| Down 5% or more (152.02) | 32% |
| Down 10% or more (144.02) | 20% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 20%, 1.0× the 20% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.