DAC
Danaos CorporationOpen163.73+0.34 +0.21%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 13:44 ET · 20m delay
Open
163.60
Prev close
163.39
Day range
161.89163.73
52-week range
83.67172.76
Volume
115.54K0.85×
Mkt cap
—
P/E ttm
5.54
Fwd P/E
6.68
EPS ttm
29.55
Div yield
2.36%
Earnings
Aug 3, 2026
From 52w high
−5.23%
DAC market-implied price distribution
DAC Price at Expiry
24 OTM quotes · ATM IV 30.4%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
53%
spot 163.73
Expected price
165.11
forward 163.32
68% range
152–178
−7.2% / +8.8%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 140.10 | −14.4% |
| 16% | 151.86 | −7.2% |
| 25% | 156.36 | −4.5% |
| 50% (median) | 164.69 | +0.6% |
| 75% | 173.16 | +5.8% |
| 84% | 178.07 | +8.8% |
| 95% | 194.19 | +18.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (171.92) | 28% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (180.10) | 13% |
| Down 5% or more (155.54) | 23% |
| Down 10% or more (147.36) | 10% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 10%, 0.6× the 16% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.