BATRA
Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc. -After hours57.68+0.23 +0.40%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 58.00 +0.55%
Open
57.83
Prev close
57.45
Day range
57.5458.37
52-week range
41.5060.48
Volume
37.69K0.59×
Mkt cap
3.70B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
-125.39
EPS ttm
-1.00
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−4.63%
BATRA market-implied price distribution
BATRA Price at Expiry
8 OTM quotes · ATM IV 21.7%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
29%
spot 57.68
Expected price
57.70
forward 56.73
68% range
54–60
−7.1% / +4.9%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 51.94 | −10.0% |
| 16% | 53.56 | −7.1% |
| 25% | 54.24 | −6.0% |
| 50% (median) | 55.81 | −3.2% |
| 75% | 58.21 | +0.9% |
| 84% | 60.48 | +4.9% |
| 95% | 74.35 | +28.9% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (60.56) | 16% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (63.45) | 12% |
| Down 5% or more (54.80) | 34% |
| Down 10% or more (51.91) | 4.9% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 4.9%, 0.5× the 11% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.