ASYS
Amtech Systems, Inc.After hours15.40−0.61 −3.81%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 15.40 0.00%
Open
15.60
Prev close
16.01
Day range
15.0715.75
52-week range
6.7525.71
Volume
204.26K0.58×
Mkt cap
269.62M
P/E ttm
57.04
Fwd P/E
12.32
EPS ttm
0.2700
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−40.10%
ASYS market-implied price distribution
ASYS Price at Expiry
8 OTM quotes · ATM IV 79.1%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
50%
spot 15.40
Expected price
15.31
forward 15.59
68% range
11–19
−30.1% / +22.8%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 5.73 | −62.8% |
| 16% | 10.77 | −30.1% |
| 25% | 12.89 | −16.3% |
| 50% (median) | 15.37 | −0.2% |
| 75% | 17.58 | +14.1% |
| 84% | 18.91 | +22.8% |
| 95% | 25.79 | +67.5% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (16.17) | 40% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (16.94) | 31% |
| Down 5% or more (14.63) | 41% |
| Down 10% or more (13.86) | 33% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 33%, 0.9× the 37% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.