ADP
Automatic Data Processing, Inc.Pre-market273.81+2.93 +1.08%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 15m delayPre-market 274.23 +0.15%
Open
272.25
Prev close
270.88
Day range
271.96274.45
52-week range
188.16288.00
Volume
1.10M0.50×
Mkt cap
108.50B
P/E ttm
25.03
Fwd P/E
20.43
EPS ttm
10.94
Div yield
2.48%
Earnings
Oct 28, 2026
From 52w high
−4.93%
ADP market-implied price distribution
ADP Price at Expiry
8 OTM quotes · ATM IV 32.7%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
59%
spot 273.81
Expected price
273.42
forward 274.77
68% range
244–300
−11.0% / +9.5%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 214.45 | −21.7% |
| 16% | 243.81 | −11.0% |
| 25% | 258.04 | −5.8% |
| 50% (median) | 280.62 | +2.5% |
| 75% | 295.37 | +7.9% |
| 84% | 299.70 | +9.5% |
| 95% | 306.81 | +12.1% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (287.50) | 39% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (301.19) | 8.4% |
| Down 5% or more (260.12) | 27% |
| Down 10% or more (246.43) | 17% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 17%, 1.3× the 14% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.