ZUMZ
Zumiez Inc.Open14.17+0.06 +0.42%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 14, 10:13 ET · 15m delay
Open
13.94
Prev close
14.11
Day range
13.9414.21
52-week range
13.0731.70
Volume
16.48K0.06×
Mkt cap
217.23M
P/E ttm
20.84
Fwd P/E
16.10
EPS ttm
0.6800
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Sep 10, 2026
From 52w high
−55.30%
ZUMZ market-implied price distribution
ZUMZ Price at Expiry
7 OTM quotes · ATM IV 50.8%
Days to expiry
37
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
48%
spot 14.17
Expected price
14.23
forward 14.13
68% range
12–16
−15.1% / +12.5%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 6.97 | −50.8% |
| 16% | 12.03 | −15.1% |
| 25% | 12.88 | −9.1% |
| 50% (median) | 14.09 | −0.6% |
| 75% | 15.24 | +7.5% |
| 84% | 15.94 | +12.5% |
| 95% | 20.00 | +41.1% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (14.88) | 32% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (15.59) | 20% |
| Down 5% or more (13.46) | 35% |
| Down 10% or more (12.75) | 23% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 23%, 0.8× the 29% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.