WS
Worthington Steel, Inc.Pre-market37.99+1.94 +5.38%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delay
Open
35.81
Prev close
36.05
Day range
35.7338.23
52-week range
27.2249.17
Volume
373.17K1.20×
Mkt cap
1.90B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
7.80
EPS ttm
-0.6700
Div yield
1.68%
Earnings
Oct 6, 2026
From 52w high
−22.74%
WS market-implied price distribution
WS Price at Expiry
8 OTM quotes · ATM IV 68.1%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
43%
spot 37.99
Expected price
35.58
forward 35.58
68% range
28–43
−26.3% / +12.6%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 22.54 | −40.7% |
| 16% | 27.98 | −26.3% |
| 25% | 30.86 | −18.8% |
| 50% (median) | 36.61 | −3.6% |
| 75% | 41.15 | +8.3% |
| 84% | 42.78 | +12.6% |
| 95% | 44.96 | +18.3% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (39.89) | 32% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (41.79) | 21% |
| Down 5% or more (36.09) | 47% |
| Down 10% or more (34.19) | 38% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 38%, 0.8× the 47% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.