WMB
Williams Companies, Inc. (The)Pre-market74.17+1.50 +2.06%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delayPre-market 74.47 +0.40%
Open
72.00
Prev close
72.67
Day range
72.0074.19
52-week range
56.1980.08
Volume
7.52M1.06×
Mkt cap
90.72B
P/E ttm
29.55
Fwd P/E
28.02
EPS ttm
2.51
Div yield
2.83%
Earnings
Aug 3, 2026
From 52w high
−7.38%
WMB market-implied price distribution
WMB Price at Expiry
11 OTM quotes · ATM IV 26.5%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
53%
spot 74.17
Expected price
73.79
forward 74.43
68% range
68–80
−8.9% / +7.4%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 60.35 | −18.6% |
| 16% | 67.59 | −8.9% |
| 25% | 70.55 | −4.9% |
| 50% (median) | 74.56 | +0.5% |
| 75% | 77.95 | +5.1% |
| 84% | 79.69 | +7.4% |
| 95% | 84.22 | +13.5% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (77.88) | 25% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (81.59) | 10% |
| Down 5% or more (70.46) | 25% |
| Down 10% or more (66.75) | 14% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 14%, 1.7× the 8.6% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.