WK
Workiva Inc.After hours72.50−0.54 −0.74%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 20m delayAfter hours 72.50 +0.03%
Open
73.32
Prev close
73.04
Day range
72.4274.60
52-week range
43.3497.10
Volume
537.76K0.51×
Mkt cap
3.95B
P/E ttm
86.31
Fwd P/E
17.90
EPS ttm
0.8400
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Nov 5, 2026
From 52w high
−25.33%
WK market-implied price distribution
WK Price at Expiry
21 OTM quotes · ATM IV 55.9%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
53%
spot 72.50
Expected price
74.53
forward 72.91
68% range
62–85
−14.3% / +16.8%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 50.16 | −30.8% |
| 16% | 62.13 | −14.3% |
| 25% | 66.10 | −8.8% |
| 50% (median) | 73.26 | +1.0% |
| 75% | 80.51 | +11.0% |
| 84% | 84.67 | +16.8% |
| 95% | 100.14 | +38.1% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (76.13) | 39% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (79.75) | 27% |
| Down 5% or more (68.88) | 34% |
| Down 10% or more (65.25) | 23% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 23%, 0.8× the 30% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.