WIX
Wix.com Ltd.Open72.01−2.16 −2.91%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 15:50 ET · 15m delay
Open
74.00
Prev close
74.17
Day range
71.1277.00
52-week range
40.16148.33
Volume
694.59K0.49×
Mkt cap
3.01B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
10.54
EPS ttm
-3.43
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 4, 2026
From 52w high
−51.45%
WIX market-implied price distribution
WIX Price at Expiry
25 OTM quotes · ATM IV 77.7%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
45%
spot 72.01
Expected price
72.76
forward 72.49
68% range
55–89
−23.8% / +23.8%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 43.37 | −39.8% |
| 16% | 54.89 | −23.8% |
| 25% | 59.77 | −17.0% |
| 50% (median) | 70.15 | −2.6% |
| 75% | 82.16 | +14.1% |
| 84% | 89.16 | +23.8% |
| 95% | 110.18 | +53.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (75.61) | 37% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (79.21) | 30% |
| Down 5% or more (68.41) | 46% |
| Down 10% or more (64.81) | 37% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 37%, 1.0× the 37% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.