WIPRO.NS
WIPRO LTDClosedWIPRO.NS discounted cash flow valuation
WIPRO.NS Fair Value
Reverse DCF: today's price implies -6.9% a year of FCF growth for years 1–5, against 3.4% in this model.
Model: 3.4% from analyst next-year EPS & revenue growth. Fades linearly to terminal growth by year 10.
Model: 7.30% (CAPM, see the build-up).
Long-run growth after year 10; keep it at or below nominal GDP.
Value Bridge
| PV of free cash flow, years 1–10 | INR 1.02T |
|---|---|
| PV of terminal value (64% of EV) | INR 1.79T |
| Enterprise value | INR 2.81T |
| + Cash & investments | INR 394.75B |
| − Total debt | −INR 212.82B |
| Equity value | INR 2.99T |
| ÷ Shares outstanding | 9.89B |
| Value per share | INR 302.62 |
| Market cap | INR 1.69T |
Discount Rate Build-up
| Risk-free rate (10-yr Treasury) | 5.22% |
|---|---|
| Beta (clamped 0.5–2.5) | 0.50 |
| Equity risk premium | 5.00% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM) | 7.72% |
| Pre-tax cost of debt | 5.22% |
| Tax rate | 23.5% |
| Debt / (equity + debt) | 11.2% |
| WACC | 7.30% |
Cost of debt is interest expense ÷ total debt, held between the risk-free rate and 12%.
Free Cash Flow: History and Projection
Sensitivity: Value per Share
| WACC ↓ / g → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.30% | 397.11 | 443.78 | 507.12 | 597.98 | 739.29 |
| 6.30% | 317.28 | 344.09 | 377.95 | 422.06 | 481.91 |
| 7.30% | 265.02 | 282.05 | 302.62 | 327.97 | 359.99 |
| 8.30% | 228.16 | 239.73 | 253.29 | 269.40 | 288.87 |
| 9.30% | 200.77 | 209.02 | 218.48 | 229.43 | 242.27 |
Green is above today's price, red below (full colour at ±30%). The outlined centre cell is the current inputs.
Projected Cash Flows
| Year | Growth | Free cash flow | Discount factor | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base (TTM) | — | INR 124.84B | — | — |
| Year 1 | 3.4% | INR 129.08B | 0.932 | INR 120.30B |
| Year 2 | 3.4% | INR 133.47B | 0.869 | INR 115.93B |
| Year 3 | 3.4% | INR 138.01B | 0.809 | INR 111.71B |
| Year 4 | 3.4% | INR 142.70B | 0.754 | INR 107.65B |
| Year 5 | 3.4% | INR 147.55B | 0.703 | INR 103.74B |
| Year 6 | 3.2% | INR 152.30B | 0.655 | INR 99.80B |
| Year 7 | 3.0% | INR 156.93B | 0.611 | INR 95.83B |
| Year 8 | 2.9% | INR 161.42B | 0.569 | INR 91.87B |
| Year 9 | 2.7% | INR 165.75B | 0.530 | INR 87.91B |
| Year 10 | 2.5% | INR 169.89B | 0.494 | INR 83.98B |
Method
Two-stage free-cash-flow model, the same as the bot's lgf dcf: five years at the chosen growth rate, a straight-line fade to terminal growth by year ten, then a Gordon-growth terminal value. Everything is discounted at WACC.
Base cash flow is the trailing four quarters of operating cash flow minus capital expenditure (the latest fiscal year when quarters are missing). Default growth uses analyst long-term growth when Yahoo publishes it, else the average of next year's EPS and revenue growth, else revenue CAGR, held between −5% and 25%.
A DCF is only as good as its inputs. The terminal value is usually most of the answer, so read the sensitivity grid before the headline number. This is a model, not investment advice.