WGS
GeneDx Holdings Corp.Open65.49+1.67 +2.62%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 12:41 ET · 15m delay
Open
62.70
Prev close
63.82
Day range
62.0165.49
52-week range
32.21170.87
Volume
173.43K0.24×
Mkt cap
1.95B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
54.64
EPS ttm
-3.63
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 3, 2026
From 52w high
−61.67%
WGS market-implied price distribution
WGS Price at Expiry
13 OTM quotes · ATM IV 121.5%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
49%
spot 65.49
Expected price
66.24
forward 65.72
68% range
43–85
−33.8% / +29.7%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 33.45 | −48.9% |
| 16% | 43.34 | −33.8% |
| 25% | 49.37 | −24.6% |
| 50% (median) | 65.16 | −0.5% |
| 75% | 78.04 | +19.2% |
| 84% | 84.91 | +29.7% |
| 95% | 108.47 | +65.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (68.76) | 43% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (72.04) | 36% |
| Down 5% or more (62.22) | 44% |
| Down 10% or more (58.94) | 38% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 38%, 0.8× the 45% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.