WDFC
WD-40 CompanyOpen203.39+0.61 +0.30%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 10:16 ET · 15m delay
Open
204.77
Prev close
202.78
Day range
203.00205.80
52-week range
175.38298.90
Volume
34.28K0.29×
Mkt cap
2.73B
P/E ttm
30.91
Fwd P/E
31.42
EPS ttm
6.58
Div yield
2.01%
Earnings
Oct 21, 2026
From 52w high
−31.95%
WDFC market-implied price distribution
WDFC Price at Expiry
30 OTM quotes · ATM IV 40.1%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
51%
spot 203.39
Expected price
203.72
forward 204.29
68% range
180–226
−11.4% / +11.2%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 141.42 | −30.5% |
| 16% | 180.22 | −11.4% |
| 25% | 189.06 | −7.0% |
| 50% (median) | 204.02 | +0.3% |
| 75% | 218.36 | +7.4% |
| 84% | 226.10 | +11.2% |
| 95% | 248.69 | +22.3% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (213.56) | 32% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (223.73) | 18% |
| Down 5% or more (193.22) | 31% |
| Down 10% or more (183.05) | 18% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 18%, 0.8× the 22% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.