WD
Walker & Dunlop, IncOpen32.32+0.02 +0.08%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 11:21 ET · 20m delay
Open
32.68
Prev close
32.29
Day range
32.1733.41
52-week range
32.0890.00
Volume
112.35K0.24×
Mkt cap
1.11B
P/E ttm
28.85
Fwd P/E
5.72
EPS ttm
1.12
Div yield
8.42%
Earnings
Aug 6, 2026
From 52w high
−64.09%
WD market-implied price distribution
WD Price at Expiry
8 OTM quotes · ATM IV 60.7%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
52%
spot 32.32
Expected price
32.49
forward 32.79
68% range
26–38
−20.9% / +18.9%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 19.71 | −39.0% |
| 16% | 25.55 | −20.9% |
| 25% | 28.30 | −12.4% |
| 50% (median) | 32.54 | +0.7% |
| 75% | 36.41 | +12.7% |
| 84% | 38.43 | +18.9% |
| 95% | 44.09 | +36.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (33.93) | 40% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (35.55) | 30% |
| Down 5% or more (30.70) | 38% |
| Down 10% or more (29.08) | 29% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 29%, 0.9× the 30% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.