VSTS
Vestis CorporationAfter hours14.31+0.06 +0.42%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 20m delayAfter hours 14.31 0.00%
Open
14.38
Prev close
14.25
Day range
14.2214.55
52-week range
4.5016.90
Volume
1.10M0.76×
Mkt cap
1.89B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
18.41
EPS ttm
-0.0500
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 11, 2026
From 52w high
−15.33%
VSTS market-implied price distribution
VSTS Price at Expiry
7 OTM quotes · ATM IV 53.9%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
46%
spot 14.31
Expected price
14.16
forward 14.18
68% range
12–16
−18.2% / +14.0%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 6.94 | −51.5% |
| 16% | 11.71 | −18.2% |
| 25% | 12.68 | −11.4% |
| 50% (median) | 14.13 | −1.3% |
| 75% | 15.51 | +8.4% |
| 84% | 16.32 | +14.0% |
| 95% | 20.39 | +42.5% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (15.03) | 33% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (15.74) | 22% |
| Down 5% or more (13.59) | 39% |
| Down 10% or more (12.88) | 28% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 28%, 0.9× the 32% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.