VRT
Vertiv Holdings, LLCPre-market239.36−3.42 −1.41%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delayPre-market 236.61 −1.17%
Open
239.66
Prev close
242.78
Day range
237.41242.82
52-week range
147.82379.94
Volume
3.51M0.67×
Mkt cap
92.15B
P/E ttm
53.43
Fwd P/E
26.06
EPS ttm
4.48
Div yield
0.10%
Earnings
Jul 29, 2026
From 52w high
−37.00%
VRT market-implied price distribution
VRT Price at Expiry
34 OTM quotes · ATM IV 67.3%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
50%
spot 239.36
Expected price
243.37
forward 243.25
68% range
199–287
−16.9% / +19.7%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 172.97 | −27.7% |
| 16% | 199.01 | −16.9% |
| 25% | 211.63 | −11.6% |
| 50% (median) | 239.24 | −0.0% |
| 75% | 270.06 | +12.8% |
| 84% | 286.62 | +19.7% |
| 95% | 327.17 | +36.7% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (251.33) | 39% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (263.30) | 30% |
| Down 5% or more (227.39) | 39% |
| Down 10% or more (215.42) | 28% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 28%, 0.9× the 30% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.