VNET
VNET Group, Inc.Open5.24−0.09 −1.60%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 13:43 ET · 15m delay
Open
5.28
Prev close
5.32
Day range
5.175.36
52-week range
5.0714.48
Volume
2.10M0.47×
Mkt cap
1.49B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
37.42
EPS ttm
-1.22
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 18, 2026
From 52w high
−63.85%
VNET market-implied price distribution
VNET Price at Expiry
6 OTM quotes · ATM IV 81.0%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
46%
spot 5.24
Expected price
5.36
forward 5.29
68% range
4–7
−25.6% / +24.5%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 3.23 | −38.3% |
| 16% | 3.89 | −25.6% |
| 25% | 4.35 | −17.0% |
| 50% (median) | 5.12 | −2.2% |
| 75% | 5.98 | +14.3% |
| 84% | 6.52 | +24.5% |
| 95% | 8.65 | +65.2% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (5.50) | 38% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (5.76) | 30% |
| Down 5% or more (4.97) | 45% |
| Down 10% or more (4.71) | 36% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 36%, 1.0× the 38% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.