UTI
Universal Technical Institute IOpen20.88+0.02 +0.10%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 13:44 ET · 20m delay
Open
20.82
Prev close
20.86
Day range
20.6821.09
52-week range
18.0251.34
Volume
336.26K0.20×
Mkt cap
1.15B
P/E ttm
34.80
Fwd P/E
22.45
EPS ttm
0.6000
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−59.33%
UTI market-implied price distribution
UTI Price at Expiry
12 OTM quotes · ATM IV 64.4%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
47%
spot 20.88
Expected price
20.91
forward 20.92
68% range
17–25
−19.8% / +18.4%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 12.42 | −40.5% |
| 16% | 16.75 | −19.8% |
| 25% | 18.09 | −13.4% |
| 50% (median) | 20.59 | −1.4% |
| 75% | 23.23 | +11.2% |
| 84% | 24.72 | +18.4% |
| 95% | 29.33 | +40.5% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (21.92) | 36% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (22.97) | 27% |
| Down 5% or more (19.84) | 42% |
| Down 10% or more (18.79) | 31% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 31%, 0.9× the 34% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.