URI
United Rentals, Inc.Pre-market1,056.92+0.55 +0.05%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delay
Open
1,053.19
Prev close
1,056.37
Day range
1,050.011,075.48
52-week range
701.591,179.18
Volume
353.96K0.74×
Mkt cap
65.79B
P/E ttm
25.43
Fwd P/E
18.29
EPS ttm
41.57
Div yield
0.75%
Earnings
Oct 21, 2026
From 52w high
−10.37%
URI market-implied price distribution
URI Price at Expiry
19 OTM quotes · ATM IV 52.3%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
46%
spot 1,056.92
Expected price
1,061.09
forward 1,060.60
68% range
896–1,225
−15.2% / +15.9%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 816.79 | −22.7% |
| 16% | 896.09 | −15.2% |
| 25% | 939.44 | −11.1% |
| 50% (median) | 1,041.71 | −1.4% |
| 75% | 1,161.43 | +9.9% |
| 84% | 1,225.50 | +15.9% |
| 95% | 1,376.55 | +30.2% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (1,109.77) | 35% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (1,162.61) | 25% |
| Down 5% or more (1,004.07) | 41% |
| Down 10% or more (951.23) | 28% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 28%, 1.1× the 26% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.