TYL
Tyler Technologies, Inc.Pre-market339.94+10.39 +3.15%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delayPre-market 344.15 +1.24%
Open
336.10
Prev close
329.55
Day range
334.56342.04
52-week range
270.71524.43
Volume
522.55K0.63×
Mkt cap
13.92B
P/E ttm
44.73
Fwd P/E
22.13
EPS ttm
7.60
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Oct 28, 2026
From 52w high
−35.18%
TYL market-implied price distribution
TYL Price at Expiry
26 OTM quotes · ATM IV 46.5%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
41%
spot 339.94
Expected price
332.75
forward 332.62
68% range
284–380
−16.6% / +11.8%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 249.93 | −26.5% |
| 16% | 283.60 | −16.6% |
| 25% | 298.25 | −12.3% |
| 50% (median) | 328.75 | −3.3% |
| 75% | 361.90 | +6.5% |
| 84% | 379.90 | +11.8% |
| 95% | 426.44 | +25.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (356.94) | 28% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (373.93) | 19% |
| Down 5% or more (322.94) | 45% |
| Down 10% or more (305.95) | 31% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 31%, 1.0× the 32% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.