TWST
Twist Bioscience CorporationAfter hours151.33−0.53 −0.35%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 151.89 +0.37%
Open
149.00
Prev close
151.86
Day range
146.00154.23
52-week range
23.30219.71
Volume
1.53M0.73×
Mkt cap
10.03B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
-378.32
EPS ttm
-2.35
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 3, 2026
From 52w high
−31.12%
TWST market-implied price distribution
TWST Price at Expiry
30 OTM quotes · ATM IV 93.2%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
44%
spot 151.33
Expected price
152.33
forward 151.83
68% range
108–195
−28.4% / +28.6%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 86.82 | −42.6% |
| 16% | 108.34 | −28.4% |
| 25% | 119.15 | −21.3% |
| 50% (median) | 144.85 | −4.3% |
| 75% | 176.46 | +16.6% |
| 84% | 194.61 | +28.6% |
| 95% | 242.16 | +60.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (158.90) | 37% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (166.46) | 32% |
| Down 5% or more (143.76) | 49% |
| Down 10% or more (136.20) | 42% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 42%, 1.0× the 42% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.