TT
Trane Technologies plcPre-market477.55+0.57 +0.12%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:01 ET · 20m delay
Open
475.01
Prev close
476.98
Day range
472.22480.42
52-week range
348.06505.87
Volume
816.70K0.71×
Mkt cap
105.07B
P/E ttm
35.58
Fwd P/E
27.13
EPS ttm
13.42
Div yield
0.88%
Earnings
Oct 29, 2026
From 52w high
−5.60%
TT market-implied price distribution
TT Price at Expiry
29 OTM quotes · ATM IV 32.4%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
49%
spot 477.55
Expected price
477.42
forward 477.89
68% range
428–526
−10.3% / +10.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 371.55 | −22.2% |
| 16% | 428.15 | −10.3% |
| 25% | 445.05 | −6.8% |
| 50% (median) | 475.95 | −0.3% |
| 75% | 507.71 | +6.3% |
| 84% | 525.69 | +10.1% |
| 95% | 585.20 | +22.5% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (501.43) | 29% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (525.31) | 16% |
| Down 5% or more (453.67) | 31% |
| Down 10% or more (429.80) | 17% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 17%, 1.0× the 17% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.