TSLL
Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X ETFOpen9.89−0.26 −2.61%USD
NasdaqGM · as of Oct 13, 14:51 ET · 15m delay
Open
9.85
Prev close
10.15
Day range
9.7910.10
52-week range
6.7023.74
Volume
29.54M0.36×
P/E ttm
65.81
EPS ttm
0.1502
Div yield
4.04%
From 52w high
−58.36%
TSLL market-implied price distribution
TSLL Price at Expiry
19 OTM quotes · ATM IV 87.9%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
47%
spot 9.88
Expected price
10.01
forward 10.00
68% range
8–12
−22.6% / +24.0%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 6.13 | −38.0% |
| 16% | 7.64 | −22.6% |
| 25% | 8.31 | −15.9% |
| 50% (median) | 9.73 | −1.5% |
| 75% | 11.34 | +14.8% |
| 84% | 12.25 | +24.0% |
| 95% | 14.80 | +49.8% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (10.37) | 39% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (10.87) | 31% |
| Down 5% or more (9.39) | 44% |
| Down 10% or more (8.89) | 35% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 35%, 0.9× the 37% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.