TPR
Tapestry, Inc.Pre-market117.22+0.98 +0.84%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delay
Open
116.45
Prev close
116.24
Day range
115.75118.15
52-week range
93.00164.80
Volume
1.43M0.47×
Mkt cap
23.26B
P/E ttm
16.26
Fwd P/E
13.17
EPS ttm
7.21
Div yield
1.58%
Earnings
Nov 5, 2026
From 52w high
−28.87%
TPR market-implied price distribution
TPR Price at Expiry
19 OTM quotes · ATM IV 50.3%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
52%
spot 117.22
Expected price
117.63
forward 117.63
68% range
99–135
−15.8% / +15.2%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 88.69 | −24.3% |
| 16% | 98.65 | −15.8% |
| 25% | 103.59 | −11.6% |
| 50% (median) | 118.30 | +0.9% |
| 75% | 132.07 | +12.7% |
| 84% | 135.03 | +15.2% |
| 95% | 144.69 | +23.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (123.08) | 41% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (128.94) | 31% |
| Down 5% or more (111.36) | 38% |
| Down 10% or more (105.50) | 28% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 28%, 1.1× the 25% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.