THRM
Gentherm IncOpen31.08+0.16 +0.52%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 14:50 ET · 15m delay
Open
31.04
Prev close
30.92
Day range
30.6932.02
52-week range
27.0048.35
Volume
1.23M1.38×
Mkt cap
1.69B
P/E ttm
36.14
Fwd P/E
9.59
EPS ttm
0.8600
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Oct 22, 2026
From 52w high
−35.72%
THRM market-implied price distribution
THRM Price at Expiry
9 OTM quotes · ATM IV 56.1%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
41%
spot 31.08
Expected price
31.93
forward 31.21
68% range
25–37
−19.5% / +20.4%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 20.59 | −33.8% |
| 16% | 25.02 | −19.5% |
| 25% | 26.77 | −13.9% |
| 50% (median) | 29.92 | −3.7% |
| 75% | 33.97 | +9.3% |
| 84% | 37.43 | +20.4% |
| 95% | 52.53 | +69.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (32.63) | 31% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (34.19) | 24% |
| Down 5% or more (29.53) | 47% |
| Down 10% or more (27.97) | 34% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 34%, 1.1× the 30% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.