TEX
Terex CorporationOpen52.69+1.37 +2.67%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 14:52 ET · 20m delay
Open
51.40
Prev close
51.32
Day range
50.9352.88
52-week range
41.7074.69
Volume
787.74K0.63×
Mkt cap
6.02B
P/E ttm
25.21
Fwd P/E
8.85
EPS ttm
2.09
Div yield
1.33%
Earnings
Jul 30, 2026
From 52w high
−29.46%
TEX market-implied price distribution
TEX Price at Expiry
8 OTM quotes · ATM IV 51.5%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
42%
spot 52.69
Expected price
52.02
forward 51.92
68% range
43–60
−17.7% / +13.3%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 37.38 | −29.1% |
| 16% | 43.38 | −17.7% |
| 25% | 46.04 | −12.6% |
| 50% (median) | 51.16 | −2.9% |
| 75% | 56.63 | +7.5% |
| 84% | 59.71 | +13.3% |
| 95% | 68.85 | +30.7% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (55.32) | 30% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (57.96) | 21% |
| Down 5% or more (50.06) | 44% |
| Down 10% or more (47.42) | 31% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 31%, 1.0× the 32% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.