TDC
Teradata CorporationOpen30.53−0.15 −0.49%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 14:51 ET · 20m delay
Open
30.69
Prev close
30.68
Day range
30.4431.45
52-week range
20.5441.78
Volume
460.71K0.19×
Mkt cap
2.84B
P/E ttm
6.41
Fwd P/E
10.48
EPS ttm
4.76
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 4, 2026
From 52w high
−26.93%
TDC market-implied price distribution
TDC Price at Expiry
10 OTM quotes · ATM IV 68.6%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
49%
spot 30.53
Expected price
30.78
forward 30.91
68% range
24–37
−21.4% / +22.4%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 19.05 | −37.6% |
| 16% | 23.99 | −21.4% |
| 25% | 26.12 | −14.5% |
| 50% (median) | 30.43 | −0.3% |
| 75% | 34.97 | +14.5% |
| 84% | 37.37 | +22.4% |
| 95% | 43.53 | +42.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (32.06) | 40% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (33.58) | 32% |
| Down 5% or more (29.00) | 41% |
| Down 10% or more (27.48) | 32% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 32%, 1.0× the 34% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.