TBBB
BBB Foods Inc.Closed56.44+0.14 +0.25%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 20m delayAfter hours 57.50 +1.88%
Open
56.93
Prev close
56.30
Day range
56.2957.30
52-week range
25.0557.30
Volume
1.43M2.09×
Mkt cap
6.80B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
-2248.24
EPS ttm
-1.63
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 12, 2026
From 52w high
−1.50%
TBBB market-implied price distribution
TBBB Price at Expiry
10 OTM quotes · ATM IV 40.0%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
55%
spot 56.44
Expected price
57.48
forward 56.81
68% range
51–64
−9.5% / +12.8%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 45.85 | −18.8% |
| 16% | 51.09 | −9.5% |
| 25% | 53.20 | −5.7% |
| 50% (median) | 57.22 | +1.4% |
| 75% | 61.33 | +8.7% |
| 84% | 63.65 | +12.8% |
| 95% | 71.15 | +26.1% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (59.26) | 36% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (62.08) | 22% |
| Down 5% or more (53.62) | 27% |
| Down 10% or more (50.80) | 15% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 15%, 0.7× the 21% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.