SWKS
Skyworks Solutions, Inc.Pre-market74.70−1.65 −2.16%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 15m delayPre-market 73.85 −1.14%
Open
76.10
Prev close
76.35
Day range
74.5677.86
52-week range
51.9392.80
Volume
4.21M0.61×
Mkt cap
17.57B
P/E ttm
38.70
Fwd P/E
13.11
EPS ttm
1.93
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Jul 28, 2026
From 52w high
−19.50%
SWKS market-implied price distribution
SWKS Price at Expiry
35 OTM quotes · ATM IV 59.4%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
48%
spot 74.70
Expected price
76.01
forward 75.40
68% range
62–89
−17.1% / +18.7%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 52.50 | −29.7% |
| 16% | 61.94 | −17.1% |
| 25% | 65.92 | −11.8% |
| 50% (median) | 74.14 | −0.7% |
| 75% | 83.36 | +11.6% |
| 84% | 88.70 | +18.7% |
| 95% | 105.19 | +40.8% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (78.44) | 37% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (82.17) | 28% |
| Down 5% or more (70.97) | 40% |
| Down 10% or more (67.23) | 29% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 29%, 0.9× the 31% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.