SWK
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.Pre-market88.65+0.08 +0.09%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delay
Open
88.20
Prev close
88.57
Day range
87.8689.42
52-week range
61.90104.68
Volume
764.61K0.43×
Mkt cap
13.39B
P/E ttm
21.67
Fwd P/E
13.96
EPS ttm
4.09
Div yield
3.79%
Earnings
Nov 4, 2026
From 52w high
−15.31%
SWK market-implied price distribution
SWK Price at Expiry
17 OTM quotes · ATM IV 40.4%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
50%
spot 88.65
Expected price
88.99
forward 89.15
68% range
77–100
−12.6% / +13.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 68.92 | −22.3% |
| 16% | 77.45 | −12.6% |
| 25% | 81.12 | −8.5% |
| 50% (median) | 88.60 | −0.1% |
| 75% | 96.34 | +8.7% |
| 84% | 100.28 | +13.1% |
| 95% | 109.31 | +23.3% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (93.08) | 35% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (97.52) | 22% |
| Down 5% or more (84.22) | 35% |
| Down 10% or more (79.79) | 21% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 21%, 1.0× the 22% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.