SUI
Sun Communities, Inc.Open112.96−1.50 −1.31%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 15:50 ET · 20m delay
Open
115.82
Prev close
114.46
Day range
112.69115.45
52-week range
109.77137.85
Volume
501.12K0.30×
Mkt cap
14.27B
P/E ttm
85.58
Fwd P/E
35.25
EPS ttm
1.32
Div yield
3.91%
Earnings
Jul 27, 2026
From 52w high
−18.06%
SUI market-implied price distribution
SUI Price at Expiry
7 OTM quotes · ATM IV 24.1%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
54%
spot 112.96
Expected price
112.75
forward 113.44
68% range
105–121
−7.5% / +7.5%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 88.87 | −21.3% |
| 16% | 104.52 | −7.5% |
| 25% | 108.08 | −4.3% |
| 50% (median) | 113.81 | +0.7% |
| 75% | 118.88 | +5.2% |
| 84% | 121.42 | +7.5% |
| 95% | 128.11 | +13.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (118.61) | 26% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (124.26) | 9.5% |
| Down 5% or more (107.31) | 23% |
| Down 10% or more (101.66) | 12% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 12%, 1.4× the 8.6% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.