STN
Stantec IncOpen67.64+0.85 +1.27%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 13:45 ET · 20m delay
Open
67.18
Prev close
66.79
Day range
66.6967.64
52-week range
65.35114.52
Volume
92.10K0.24×
Mkt cap
7.60B
P/E ttm
21.14
Fwd P/E
13.98
EPS ttm
3.20
Div yield
1.03%
Earnings
Aug 12, 2026
From 52w high
−40.94%
STN market-implied price distribution
STN Price at Expiry
9 OTM quotes · ATM IV 45.2%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
67%
spot 67.64
Expected price
71.42
forward 71.94
68% range
60–81
−11.4% / +19.3%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 49.09 | −27.4% |
| 16% | 59.91 | −11.4% |
| 25% | 65.03 | −3.9% |
| 50% (median) | 71.92 | +6.3% |
| 75% | 77.73 | +14.9% |
| 84% | 80.70 | +19.3% |
| 95% | 89.25 | +32.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (71.02) | 54% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (74.40) | 39% |
| Down 5% or more (64.25) | 23% |
| Down 10% or more (60.87) | 17% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 17%, 1.2× the 14% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.