SSRM
SSR Mining Inc.Open33.65−1.79 −5.05%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 10:18 ET · 15m delay
Open
35.51
Prev close
35.44
Day range
33.5635.51
52-week range
18.1939.44
Volume
664.73K0.25×
Mkt cap
6.86B
P/E ttm
11.29
Fwd P/E
7.40
EPS ttm
2.98
Div yield
0.08%
Earnings
Nov 3, 2026
From 52w high
−14.68%
SSRM market-implied price distribution
SSRM Price at Expiry
19 OTM quotes · ATM IV 55.8%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
50%
spot 33.65
Expected price
34.47
forward 34.30
68% range
28–40
−15.7% / +20.0%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 24.35 | −27.7% |
| 16% | 28.36 | −15.7% |
| 25% | 30.05 | −10.7% |
| 50% (median) | 33.62 | −0.1% |
| 75% | 37.82 | +12.4% |
| 84% | 40.38 | +20.0% |
| 95% | 47.72 | +41.8% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (35.33) | 38% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (37.02) | 29% |
| Down 5% or more (31.97) | 38% |
| Down 10% or more (30.29) | 26% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 26%, 1.0× the 27% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.