SPXC
SPX Technologies, Inc.After hours171.91+3.46 +2.05%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 20m delayAfter hours 171.91 −0.04%
Open
168.42
Prev close
168.45
Day range
166.22173.02
52-week range
166.17251.08
Volume
545.32K1.02×
Mkt cap
8.61B
P/E ttm
30.32
Fwd P/E
17.61
EPS ttm
5.67
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Oct 29, 2026
From 52w high
−31.53%
SPXC market-implied price distribution
SPXC Price at Expiry
19 OTM quotes · ATM IV 43.6%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
50%
spot 171.91
Expected price
171.33
forward 172.36
68% range
147–194
−14.5% / +12.7%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 118.36 | −31.2% |
| 16% | 146.92 | −14.5% |
| 25% | 156.35 | −9.1% |
| 50% (median) | 171.80 | −0.1% |
| 75% | 186.22 | +8.3% |
| 84% | 193.79 | +12.7% |
| 95% | 214.88 | +25.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (180.51) | 34% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (189.10) | 21% |
| Down 5% or more (163.31) | 35% |
| Down 10% or more (154.72) | 23% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 23%, 1.0× the 24% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.