SNEX
StoneX Group Inc.Open59.57−0.81 −1.34%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 12:40 ET · 15m delay
Open
59.89
Prev close
60.38
Day range
59.2060.20
52-week range
36.4594.66
Volume
296.81K0.31×
Mkt cap
7.19B
P/E ttm
19.73
Fwd P/E
12.59
EPS ttm
3.02
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−37.07%
SNEX market-implied price distribution
SNEX Price at Expiry
7 OTM quotes · ATM IV 43.9%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
55%
spot 59.57
Expected price
60.21
forward 60.48
68% range
51–68
−15.1% / +13.3%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 43.98 | −26.2% |
| 16% | 50.58 | −15.1% |
| 25% | 55.02 | −7.6% |
| 50% (median) | 60.46 | +1.5% |
| 75% | 65.03 | +9.2% |
| 84% | 67.51 | +13.3% |
| 95% | 77.17 | +29.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (62.55) | 38% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (65.53) | 23% |
| Down 5% or more (56.59) | 31% |
| Down 10% or more (53.61) | 21% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 21%, 1.0× the 22% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.