SN
SharkNinja, Inc.Open191.70+1.72 +0.91%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 10:19 ET · 20m delay
Open
191.12
Prev close
189.98
Day range
189.87193.68
52-week range
83.12194.54
Volume
147.80K0.09×
Mkt cap
27.13B
P/E ttm
39.12
Fwd P/E
25.02
EPS ttm
4.90
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−1.46%
SN market-implied price distribution
SN Price at Expiry
20 OTM quotes · ATM IV 56.3%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
48%
spot 191.70
Expected price
191.36
forward 191.80
68% range
157–225
−17.9% / +17.4%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 131.54 | −31.4% |
| 16% | 157.43 | −17.9% |
| 25% | 168.19 | −12.3% |
| 50% (median) | 190.00 | −0.9% |
| 75% | 212.91 | +11.1% |
| 84% | 225.04 | +17.4% |
| 95% | 256.10 | +33.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (201.29) | 37% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (210.87) | 27% |
| Down 5% or more (182.11) | 40% |
| Down 10% or more (172.53) | 29% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 29%, 0.9× the 31% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.