SII
Sprott Inc.Open115.36+0.67 +0.58%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 10:18 ET · 20m delay
Open
115.86
Prev close
114.69
Day range
115.03118.67
52-week range
78.79169.63
Volume
22.96K0.15×
Mkt cap
2.97B
P/E ttm
28.27
Fwd P/E
23.85
EPS ttm
4.08
Div yield
1.40%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−31.99%
SII market-implied price distribution
SII Price at Expiry
28 OTM quotes · ATM IV 48.2%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
53%
spot 115.36
Expected price
117.02
forward 117.12
68% range
100–133
−13.6% / +15.0%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 68.78 | −40.4% |
| 16% | 99.72 | −13.6% |
| 25% | 105.86 | −8.2% |
| 50% (median) | 116.37 | +0.9% |
| 75% | 126.81 | +9.9% |
| 84% | 132.69 | +15.0% |
| 95% | 152.08 | +31.8% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (121.13) | 38% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (126.90) | 25% |
| Down 5% or more (109.59) | 33% |
| Down 10% or more (103.82) | 22% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 22%, 0.9× the 24% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.