SHLS
Shoals Technologies Group, Inc.Open8.67+0.02 +0.29%USD
NasdaqGM · as of Oct 13, 14:51 ET · 15m delay
Open
8.46
Prev close
8.64
Day range
8.398.73
52-week range
5.4313.18
Volume
2.14M0.43×
Mkt cap
1.46B
P/E ttm
45.61
Fwd P/E
15.45
EPS ttm
0.1900
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 4, 2026
From 52w high
−34.26%
SHLS market-implied price distribution
SHLS Price at Expiry
12 OTM quotes · ATM IV 93.2%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
45%
spot 8.67
Expected price
8.64
forward 8.69
68% range
6–11
−30.8% / +26.6%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 3.53 | −59.3% |
| 16% | 6.00 | −30.8% |
| 25% | 6.85 | −20.9% |
| 50% (median) | 8.37 | −3.4% |
| 75% | 9.99 | +15.3% |
| 84% | 10.97 | +26.6% |
| 95% | 14.81 | +70.9% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (9.10) | 37% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (9.53) | 31% |
| Down 5% or more (8.23) | 47% |
| Down 10% or more (7.80) | 40% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 40%, 1.0× the 42% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.