SECZ
Securitize Corp.Open11.37−0.49 −4.17%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 13:45 ET · 20m delay
Open
11.17
Prev close
11.86
Day range
10.8211.68
52-week range
5.1417.01
Volume
2.19M0.73×
Mkt cap
1.86B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
-568.25
EPS ttm
-0.3800
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 12, 2026
From 52w high
−33.19%
SECZ market-implied price distribution
SECZ Price at Expiry
7 OTM quotes · ATM IV 136.4%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
41%
spot 11.37
Expected price
11.38
forward 11.36
68% range
7–16
−40.5% / +38.9%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 5.05 | −55.5% |
| 16% | 6.76 | −40.5% |
| 25% | 7.75 | −31.8% |
| 50% (median) | 10.30 | −9.4% |
| 75% | 13.72 | +20.7% |
| 84% | 15.79 | +38.9% |
| 95% | 21.61 | +90.2% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (11.93) | 36% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (12.50) | 32% |
| Down 5% or more (10.80) | 54% |
| Down 10% or more (10.23) | 49% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 49%, 1.0× the 49% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.