SE
Sea LimitedOpen96.14+0.26 +0.27%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 10:19 ET · 20m delay
Open
96.00
Prev close
95.88
Day range
95.0896.44
52-week range
77.05184.96
Volume
374.50K0.09×
Mkt cap
58.88B
P/E ttm
37.12
Fwd P/E
18.46
EPS ttm
2.59
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 11, 2026
From 52w high
−48.02%
SE market-implied price distribution
SE Price at Expiry
32 OTM quotes · ATM IV 57.5%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
47%
spot 96.14
Expected price
96.31
forward 96.29
68% range
80–112
−16.9% / +16.2%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 68.54 | −28.7% |
| 16% | 79.84 | −16.9% |
| 25% | 85.17 | −11.4% |
| 50% (median) | 95.10 | −1.1% |
| 75% | 105.62 | +9.9% |
| 84% | 111.70 | +16.2% |
| 95% | 129.82 | +35.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (100.94) | 35% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (105.75) | 25% |
| Down 5% or more (91.33) | 40% |
| Down 10% or more (86.52) | 28% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 28%, 1.0× the 29% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.