SDGR
Schrodinger, Inc.After hours25.89−0.02 −0.08%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 26.50 +2.36%
Open
25.91
Prev close
25.91
Day range
25.5026.23
52-week range
10.9533.78
Volume
1.30M0.72×
Mkt cap
1.94B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
-19.18
EPS ttm
-0.7400
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−23.36%
SDGR market-implied price distribution
SDGR Price at Expiry
14 OTM quotes · ATM IV 105.5%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
43%
spot 25.89
Expected price
25.86
forward 25.81
68% range
18–33
−30.0% / +28.7%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 14.44 | −44.2% |
| 16% | 18.13 | −30.0% |
| 25% | 20.08 | −22.5% |
| 50% (median) | 24.64 | −4.8% |
| 75% | 30.18 | +16.6% |
| 84% | 33.32 | +28.7% |
| 95% | 41.47 | +60.2% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (27.18) | 37% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (28.48) | 31% |
| Down 5% or more (24.60) | 50% |
| Down 10% or more (23.30) | 43% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 43%, 1.0× the 45% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.