SCI
Service Corporation InternationOpen77.08−0.66 −0.85%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 10:18 ET · 20m delay
Open
78.09
Prev close
77.74
Day range
76.7478.09
52-week range
68.4190.99
Volume
59.65K0.06×
Mkt cap
10.51B
P/E ttm
20.18
Fwd P/E
16.76
EPS ttm
3.82
Div yield
1.85%
Earnings
Jul 29, 2026
From 52w high
−15.29%
SCI market-implied price distribution
SCI Price at Expiry
10 OTM quotes · ATM IV 26.2%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
55%
spot 77.10
Expected price
77.71
forward 77.96
68% range
71–85
−8.3% / +9.7%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 62.53 | −18.9% |
| 16% | 70.72 | −8.3% |
| 25% | 73.44 | −4.7% |
| 50% (median) | 77.85 | +1.0% |
| 75% | 82.13 | +6.5% |
| 84% | 84.58 | +9.7% |
| 95% | 92.13 | +19.5% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (80.96) | 31% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (84.81) | 15% |
| Down 5% or more (73.24) | 24% |
| Down 10% or more (69.39) | 13% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 13%, 1.4× the 9.2% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.