SANM
Sanmina CorporationAfter hours211.79−1.95 −0.91%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 211.79 0.00%
Open
207.13
Prev close
213.74
Day range
203.11214.20
52-week range
118.10288.68
Volume
625.31K0.92×
Mkt cap
11.35B
P/E ttm
37.89
Fwd P/E
15.04
EPS ttm
5.59
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Jul 27, 2026
From 52w high
−26.64%
SANM market-implied price distribution
SANM Price at Expiry
29 OTM quotes · ATM IV 74.1%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
47%
spot 211.79
Expected price
212.99
forward 213.05
68% range
163–261
−23.1% / +23.5%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 132.51 | −37.4% |
| 16% | 162.94 | −23.1% |
| 25% | 177.19 | −16.3% |
| 50% (median) | 208.08 | −1.8% |
| 75% | 242.65 | +14.6% |
| 84% | 261.47 | +23.5% |
| 95% | 308.93 | +45.9% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (222.38) | 39% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (232.97) | 31% |
| Down 5% or more (201.20) | 44% |
| Down 10% or more (190.61) | 35% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 35%, 1.0× the 36% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.